Will International Capital Flows Change in 2026?

Expenditures by foreign direct investors to obtain, establish, or expand U.S. companies totaled $232.2 billion in 2025, according to preliminary stats released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Expenditures increased $76.8 billion, or 49.5 percent, from 2024 levels. As in previous years, acquisitions of existing U.S. organizations accounted for most of the expenditures.

Planned total expenditures, which consist of both first-year and scheduled future expenses, were $284.5 billion. By market, expenditures for new direct investment were biggest in publishing industries ($50.7 billion), followed by chemicals producing ($45.4 billion) and plastics and rubber products producing ($19.0 billion).

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The country with the largest investment was Japan ($50.5 billion), followed by Germany ($26.7 billion) and Canada ($23.5 billion).1 By region, Europe contributed the most brand-new investment, $116.6 billion, or 50.2 percent of all new financial investment in 2025. Asia and Pacific was the second-largest investing area, with $71.9 billion in expenditures.

organization or to expand an existing foreign-owned U.S. businesswere $13.8 billion in 2025. By industry, greenfield expenditures were biggest in transportation and warehousing ($3.6 billion), computers and electronics products manufacturing ($2.0 billion), and chemicals manufacturing ($1.8 billion). By region, investors from Asia and Pacific contributed the greatest dollar value of greenfield expenditures ($8.3 billion), led by Australia ($3.0 billion), South Korea ($2.2 billion), and Japan ($1.7 billion).

Planned overall expenses for greenfield investment initiated in 2025, which consist of both first-year and scheduled future expenditures, were $66.1 billion. Overall planned employment, which includes the existing employment of acquired business, the prepared work of newly established company enterprises when completely functional, and the planned work associated with growths, was 232,400.

Economic Conditions and Capital Diversification for 2026

California (37,200) was the state with the largest present employment resulting from new investment, followed by Illinois (17,600) and Texas (16,500).

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BEA did not use cell suppression or sound infusion. Next release: June 2027New Foreign Direct Financial Investment in the United States, 20261 As determined by country of ultimate beneficial owner (UBO; see "Extra Information" for a description). 1. Based on a contrast of the S&P 500 Index to the Bloomberg US Convertible Money Pay Bond > $250mn Index. The S&P 500 is a stock market index weighted by market capitalization that is comprised of 500 of the largest public business in the United States. The Bloomberg US Convertible Money Pay Bond > $250mn Index tracks the performance of US dollar-denominated cash-pay convertible securities with minimum quantities outstanding of at least $250 million.

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