Key Drivers Shaping Gulf Market Forecasts for 2026

Oct 2019 Walid Majdalani, Head of Investcorp Private Equity MENA service, details the appealing opportunities of investing in GCC Infrastructure, driven by the area's development and federal government efforts.

Diversification is attain a well balanced economy,, Diversity visions and strategies exist. But there were and The, by creating an index without any qualitative/perceptions indicators. The overall International EDI is composed of tracking. As product exporters diversify, lower their dependence on resource rents and potentially score a higher rating on the EDI.

For non-diversified nations, when rate of the commodity falls, there is a substantial decrease in federal government income, public costs, bank account balance and international reserves: more volatility. The (consisting of major product exporters, not restricted to simply oil) over the, throughout 25 indications (including 3 digital signs). The United States And Canada, Western Europe and East Asia Pacific nations leading EDI ratings over the years.

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+

Despite the fact that structural reforms and diversification efforts undertaken by the GCC affected MENA's regional scores favorably, it still lags five other regional groups., with the leading 10 nations having less than a 10-point difference in scores (suggesting the strength of diversity)., along with 4 upper-middle income (China, Mexico, Turkey and Thailand) and one lower middle-income country (India, ranked 20th, driven by its services export boom).

Amongst the e. nations ranked 51 to 70, the performance of Moldova, Indonesia, Armenia and Honduras stick out (when comparing 2024 vs 2000). years, provided sped up diversification plans of lots of oil-exporting countries. published a stable enhancement due to a mix of minimized dependence on fuel exports, reduced exports concentration and a change in the composition of exports.

Creating Sustainable Financial Structures with GCC Assets

with oil exporters having the most affordable ratings (though individual country-specific performance has differed gradually). Tunisia, Morocco and Jordan have readings of 100+ as does the UAE while Algeria and Kuwait are on the other end of the spectrum. Across all regions, the typical rating is the for both 2000 and 2024, and the greatest in North America.

In 2024, the (China was among the top ranked, while Mongolia's rating aggravated compared to 2000)., but more to do with a "levelling up" at the bottom rather than an enhancement among the top countries. By comparing the (height of the blue box), least variability is seen in South Asia in 2000 and the most in the MENA region (with difference likely driven by the dichotomy within the area between the resource-heavy states (e.g.

Sub-Saharan African countries represent around one-third of the overall, followed by Latin America and the Middle East (the latter 2 together accounting for over 40% of the total). Consisting of, there has actually been an (from 90.3 in 2000-04 to 92.6 and 92.3 in the 5 years pre- and post-pandemic ).

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+

and ranked higher than others; UAE is up more than 45 places in 2024 compared to 2000 while Qatar climbed 24; both Saudi Arabia and Oman increased 17 ranks throughout the duration. The caught or even worse off nations are some parts of Latin America and Sub-Saharan Africa where structural transformation has stalled.

shows a substantial increase in average EDI ratings from 86.8 in 2000-04 to 92.6 in 2020-24, (up more than 10 points in the preliminary duration versus 2020-24). with UAE outshining in the trade sub-index (supported by current bilateral trade contracts & non-oil exports push). vs its pre-pandemic reading (partly offered the surge in medium & high-tech production information).

Can Gulf Non-Oil Success Outpace Western Benchmarks?

Its diversity metrics have actually stagnated, revealing the least enhancement between the initial (2000-04) and last (2020-24) referral periods., regardless of the headwinds of OPEC+ production cuts. A robust non-hydrocarbon expansion was supported by the GCC's robust domestic need (supported by a strong job pipeline and implementation) and strong services sector efficiency.

Kuwait and Saudi Arabia clocked in an increase in non-hydrocarbon profits, "primarily reflecting non-hydrocarbon tax base expansions and profits collection efficiency enhancements", according to the IMF. In the current geopolitical environment characterized by intensifying, it remains in the best interests of commodity dependent countries to diversify its export base, exports and trade partners.

Sub-Saharan African nations account for around one-third of the total, followed by Latin America and the Middle East (the latter 2 together representing over 40% of the overall). Consisting of, there has actually been an (from 90.3 in 2000-04 to 92.6 and 92.3 in the five years pre- and post-pandemic ).

and ranked higher than others; UAE is up more than 45 places in 2024 compared to 2000 while Qatar climbed up 24; both Saudi Arabia and Oman rose 17 ranks during the period. The caught or worse off nations are some parts of Latin America and Sub-Saharan Africa where structural improvement has actually stalled.

Upcoming GCC Market Trends for 2026 Global Markets

reveals a considerable boost in average EDI ratings from 86.8 in 2000-04 to 92.6 in 2020-24, (up more than 10 points in the initial period versus 2020-24). with UAE exceeding in the trade sub-index (supported by current bilateral trade agreements & non-oil exports push). vs its pre-pandemic reading (partially given the surge in medium & modern manufacturing information).

Its diversification metrics have stagnated, revealing the least improvement in between the initial (2000-04) and last (2020-24) recommendation periods., in spite of the headwinds of OPEC+ production cuts. A robust non-hydrocarbon growth was supported by the GCC's robust domestic demand (supported by a strong job pipeline and execution) and strong services sector efficiency.

Kuwait and Saudi Arabia clocked in a boost in non-hydrocarbon income, "mainly showing non-hydrocarbon tax base expansions and income collection efficiency improvements", according to the IMF. In the current geopolitical environment defined by heightening, it is in the very best interests of commodity reliant countries to diversify its export base, exports and trade partners.